|
Texas
Hold'em Probabilities
|
Preflop: |
|
Probability of being dealt a pocket
pair |
5.9% |
|
Probability of being dealt suited
cards |
23.5% |
|
Probability of being dealt AA |
0.45% |
|
Probability of being dealt
connecting cards |
15.7% |
|
Flop: |
|
Probability of hitting a three of a
kind or quads at the flop when you
hold a pocket pair |
11.8% |
|
Probability you will make a pair at
the flop, holding two unpaired cards
in the hole |
32.4% |
|
Probability of flopping a flush,
holding two suited cards |
0.84% |
|
Probability of flopping a flush
draw, holding two suited cards |
11% |
|
Turn -
river: |
|
Probability of hitting a flush draw
(both turn/river, needing one card
to hit) |
35% |
|
Probability of hitting an open-ended
straight draw (i.e. 4 straight
cards, need one on either end to hit
on turn or river) |
31.5% |
|
Probability of hitting a gutshot
draw (inside straight draw) on turn
or river |
16.5% |
|
Probability of hitting a backdoor
flush, holding two suited cards |
4.2% |
|
Probability of hitting a flush on
the |
19.1% |
|
Probability of hitting a flush on
the river |
19.6% |
|
Probability of hitting a straight on
the turn |
17% |
|
Probability of hitting a straight on
the river |
17.4% |
Winning probability between two hands:
|
Probability of a lower pocket pair
beating a higher pocket pair |
18.5% |
|
Probability of non-suited overcards
beating a lower pocket pair |
45% |
|
Probability of suited overcards
beating a lower pocket pair |
47.3% |
|
Probability of a dominated hand
winning (e.g. AJ vs. AK) |
24% |
|
Probability of a severely dominated
hand winning that is suited (e.g. AA
vs. ATs) |
12.7% |
|
Probability of an unsuited severely
dominated hand winning (e.g. AA vs.
ATo) |
7.2% |
|
Probability of two unsuited
undercards beating two unsuited
overcards (e.g. JT vs. AK) |
36.7% |
|
Probability of two suited undercards
beating two unsuited overcards (e.g.
JTs vs. AK) |
41% |
|
Probability of two, unsuited,
non-connecting undercards beating
two suited, connecting overcards
(e.g. T4o vs. AKs) |
32.4% |
How
often does a certain hole cards wins:
|
The
percentage that this hand wins |
Pocket
cards |
| 75% |
AA |
| 63.5% |
KK |
| 56.1% |
QQ |
| 50% |
JJ |
| 51.1% |
AK
suited |
| 48.1% |
AK off
suit |
| 46.5% |
AQ
suited |
| 43.5% |
10 10 |
| 41.7% |
AJ
suited |
| 42.4% |
AQ off
suit |
Most common winning hands:
|
The
percentage that this hand wins the
pot |
Poker
hand |
| 31% |
Two
pairs |
| 27% |
Pair |
| 12% |
Three
of a kind |
| 9% |
Strait |
| 9% |
Flush |
| 9% |
Full
house |
| 2% |
High
card |
| 1% |
Four
of a kind |
| 1% < |
Strait
flush |
| 1% < |
Royal
flush |
Profit expectation from pocket cards:
|
Profit expectation for limit $5 -
$10 T.H. |
Pocket cards |
|
$34.19 |
AA |
|
$24.13 |
KK |
|
$17.36 |
QQ |
|
$12.08 |
JJ |
|
$11.63 |
AK suited |
|
$8.65 |
AK off suit |
|
$8.32 |
AQ suited |
|
$7.72 |
10 10 |
|
$5.69 |
AJ suited |
|
$5.47 |
AQ off suit |
|
